India Rising #1

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Hey Risers

Thank you for subscribing to India Rising. This is the very first issue of the newsletter and I’m glad that you are part of my journey of sharing insights about the Indo-European landscape. From EU-India Trade Agreements to the impact of new electric vehicle policies and latest developments in India’s real estate market, we have a broad mix of topics.

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Rise of the Week - EU-India Free Trade Agreement

The EU and India have a much stronger economic partnership than many know:

  • Over 6,000 European companies are present in India

  • The EU is India's largest trading partner, ahead of the US and China.

  • Trade in goods has increased by almost 90% over the past decade and reached EUR 124 billion (12.2% of total Indian trade) in 2023 according to the European Commission

The development of the EU-India trade particularly accelerated over the past few years and the momentum is expected to continue. The following chart shows the rising trade since the year 2000 according to Eurostat:

To strengthen those ties further, a delegation of the European Commission incl. its President Ursula von der Leyen met Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his government on February 27th-28th to discuss opportunities to take the EU-India Strategic Partnership to the next level.

In this era of intense geostrategic competition, Europe stands for openness, partnership, and outreach. We seek to deepen ties with one of our most trusted friends and allies—India. Europe and India are like-minded partners, bound by the shared conviction that democracy best serves the people. That’s why one of the first visits of the new Commission is to India. We are committed to strengthening our strategic partnership to advance trade, economic security, and resilient supply chains, along with a common tech agenda and reinforced security and defence cooperation.

Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission

Both sides agreed on three core areas for the future of the EU-India cooperation:

  • Trade and technology

  • Security and defence

  • Connectivity and global partnership

Amongst other major announcements, both sides agreed on one key goal: reaching a deal for the EU-India free trade agreement still in 2025. In addition to Germany’s large delegation visit to India in 2024, this is a promising step and a positive sign for the upcoming update of the European Commission’s EU-India Strategic Agenda which is expected in the coming months.

Sources: European Commission (Feb 28 2025), European Commission (Feb 21, 2025)

What else is Rising?

Delhi’s EV Policy 2.0 Aims for 95% Adoption of Electric Vehicles

A new policy proposed by the Delhi government shows the ambitious plans of electric vehicle adoption in India. The EV Policy 2.0 targets an electric vehicle share of 95% of all new vehicle registrations by 2027. Intention is to not only fast-track EV adoption in India’s capital, but to keep the leadership position in the country.

To make it more attractive, purchase incentives for

  • Electric two-wheelers (motorbikes etc.)

  • Three-wheelers

  • Trucks and cars

alike are considered. Furthermore, investments into public charging infrastructure are planned and it might become mandatory for new developments to provide charging stations.

The European automotive sector faces significant challenges amid industry transformation. While the industry may hope to replicate their Chinese market success in India by targeting its growing middle class, they may be caught off guard by India's rapid adoption of electric vehicles. Historically, regulatory policies often begin in major metropolitan areas before expanding nationwide. Success remains viable for European automakers, but will likely require comprehensive electrification strategies to materialize.

Morgan Stanley - India 3rd Largest Economy by 2028

Based on a recent evaluation by Morgan Stanley, India is expected to become the world’s 3rd largest economy by 2028. Expected to reach a GDP of USD 5.7 trillion by 2028, this means that India would overtake Germany that year after overtaking Japan to become the 4th largest economy globally in 2026.

The implication is that India will be the world's most sought-after consumer market, it will undergo a major energy transition, credit to GDP will rise and manufacturing could gain share in GDP.

Morgan Stanley

Some of the main reasons that are supposed to lead to this positive development are

  • Robust population growth of the already largest population globally

  • India’s functioning democracy and macro focused policy

  • Better infrastructure

  • Improving social outcomes

Per Morgan Stanley, this trajectory will be subject to external impacts such as global growth rates as well as US policy changes incl. tariffs against India. But overall, it’s more of a question when and not if.

Quick Risers

Spotlight - Indo-German Young Leaders Forum 2025

Source: Indo-German Young Leaders Forum

Since 2017, the Indo-German Young Leaders Forum hosts its annual conference to promote bilateral exchange. Application for this year’s conference in New Delhi (October 9-12, 2025) is open until March 30, 2025.

Take a look and apply via this link!

Curiosity Corner

Your random facts & stories about India and the Indo-European friendship.

India's ancient trade route (with Europe) was more important than the Silk Road ever was. The balance of trade overwhelmingly was in favour of India and that is why you find tens of thousands of Roman coins. In fact, more Roman coins have been found in India than in any other country except Italy.

William Dalrymple (British historian and leading scholar on India) as per Business Today

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